- T-0101
Scaling laws predict continued capability gains. As compute and data increase, model performance improves predictably across benchmarks.
Survival 25%
Challenges
AGI emerges from scale—sufficient compute, data, and architectural refinements will produce general intelligence. The path is more of the same, done better.
4 claims · 1 surviving · 0 contested
Claims
- T-0102
Emergent capabilities appear at scale that were absent in smaller models. Reasoning, planning, and tool use emerge without explicit training.
- T-0103
RLHF and constitutional methods align model behavior sufficiently. Scaling alignment techniques alongside capabilities produces safe, useful systems.
- T-0104
AGI will emerge from continued scaling of current architectures. No fundamental breakthrough is required—only engineering and resources.